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Retiree Crisis Looms as Pension and Health Care Benefits Vanish

From Issue 4, May 2006

Many of the remaining traditional defined-benefit pension plans in both the private and public sectors are deeply in the red. In the public sector, unfunded pension liabilities are often blamed on such factors as the stock market drop. But, according to the National Association of State Retirement Administrations and National Council on Teacher Retirement, the problem is an aggregate unfunded liability of nearly $296 billion for the 103 pension systems and 127 total plans in their Public Fund Survey.(2) The secure future baby boomers foresaw in their pension plans, Social Security, and Medicare will ultimately be burdened by the sheer numbers of retirees,(3) but these findings, as well as recent private sector experiences, show that the failure to make actuarially sound investments in long promised pension and health benefits is at the root of most shortfalls.

American corporations argue that to compete against foreign companies with low or no benefit costs and domestic rivals with younger workforces and less generous benefit packages, they must reduce obligations to their retirees. Only a third of companies with 200 or more employees offered any health care benefits to their retirees in 2005, down from 66 percent in 1988. Small firms, which employ about half of the workforce, rarely offered generous retirement benefits, and those that still offer their retirees health insurance have been trimming the plans.(4) Too, thousands of state and local governments have promised generous health care benefits to millions of employees when they retire, yet experts say that virtually none have kept track of the mounting price tag.(5) Nationally, health care costs alone now consume 16 percent of the gross domestic product.(6)

Possible Implications for Kentucky: Kentucky faces huge fiscal challenges if it is to honor the pension and health commitments made to its public employees. While this required state funding obligation may crowd out other funding in the future, the longer the state forestalls meeting its obligations, the greater the cost. Both public and private employers are struggling to pay for health care benefits for current employees and retirees, a circumstance that ultimately will compel a closer examination of how we finance health care in the United States and how we can realize savings. As our population ages, the demand for health care services will likely rise though increased education and income levels among older citizens may moderate these costs. The forceful clout older voters have historically wielded, however, will not likely moderate. Instead, as the financial fortunes of older citizens continue to be undermined, the pressure for change will likely mount.

Contributing Writer Billie S. Dunavent

Sources:

2  National Center for Policy Analysis, "Public-Sector Pension Crisis Worsens," Daily Policy Digest  30 March 2006.

3  "Attention, Baby-boomers," The Journal News (New York) 3 Jan. 2006.

4  Eduardo Porter and Mary Williams Walsh, "Benefits Go the Way of Pensions," The New York Times 9 Feb. 2006.

5  Milt Freudenheim and Mary Williams Walsh, "The Next Retirement Time Bomb," The New York Times 11 Dec. 2005.

6  "AARP Reports on 50+ America: Health Care Indicators and Income on the Decline for Mid-Life and Older Americans," American Association of Retired Persons thematuremarket.com 2 March 2006.